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FLIGHTS·UAL 587

Will UAL 587 from Chicago to Dulles arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days UAL587 has arrived on time on 84% of its 37 tracked flights between Chicago and Dulles — 6 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    79%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    19%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$133 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time79%Delayed19%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    4:21 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
84%on time
6delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
79%