Will UAL 1922 from Chicago to Dulles arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 24?
Over the last 30 days UAL1922 has arrived on time on 80% of its 49 tracked flights between Chicago and Dulles — 10 late and 0 cancelled.
Trading closed — waiting on the result
Trading has closed, so no more trades can be placed. We keep checking the authoritative record and valid alternatives. A winning contract pays $1.00 after a valid outcome is established and the market settles; a missing report does not itself establish an outcome or start an automatic refund deadline.
The journey
Where it finished
- On time74%
chance of on time
- Delayed24%
- Cancelled2%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- ArrivingOpens6:37 AM UTC
- ClosesWhen the flight arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
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- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
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