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FLIGHTS·UAL 2401

UAL 2401 from Chicago to Boston, Sep 13 — market voided

Over the last 30 days UAL2401 has arrived on time on 41% of its 44 tracked flights between Chicago and Boston — 13 late and 13 cancelled.

Cancelled

No arrival time was ever published

All positions refunded

This flight landed, but no arrival time was ever published for it — the airport's own board does not report one, and no independent tracking covers it. Without that time the outcome cannot be decided, so every position was refunded in full.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
  • Delayed
  • Cancelled
$618 vol

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn timeDelayedCancelled
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    8:28 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    2:22 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    No arrival time was ever published
Recent performance
41%on time
13delayed13cancelled
Aug 18Sep 16

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.