FLIGHTS·UAL 1928

Will UAL 1928 from Chicago to Boston arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

UAL1928 flies between Chicago and Boston. No earlier run of this flight has been tracked yet.

What the market thinks

Connecting

On time
40%
Delayed
58%
chance of delayed
Cancelled
2%

$28 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time40%Delayed58%Cancelled2%

Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

Opens
11:36 AM UTC
Closes
When the flight arrives
Settles
Waiting on the result

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.

Delayed

58%