Will AAL 3475 (Chicago→Appleton) be on time? · Sep 6
Over the last 30 days AAL3475 has arrived on time on 47% of its 30 tracked flights between Chicago and Appleton — 2 late and 14 cancelled.
OPEN
No trades yet · starting price even
75%
On time
23%
Delayed
2%
Cancelled
$24 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
- Opens8:29 PM UTC
- ClosesWhen the flight arrives
- SettlesInstant & automatic
How it settles
We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
15+ min late counts as "delayed"
Recent performance
48%on time
2delayed13cancelled
Aug 8
On timeDelayedCancelled
Sep 6Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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