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FLIGHTS·AAL 860

Will AAL 860 from Buffalo to New York arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

Over the last 30 days AAL860 has arrived on time on 68% of its 25 tracked flights between Buffalo and New York — 8 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Venkat Mangudi · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    55%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    43%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$116 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time55%Delayed43%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    3:57 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
68%on time
8delayed0cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
55%