AAL 4681 (Buffalo→Boston) was delayed · Sep 5
AAL4681 flies between Buffalo and Boston. No earlier run of this flight has been tracked yet.
Settled · Result
Delayed42% implied
Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late
- Scheduled
- Sep 5, 2026, 10:10 PM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 5, 2026, 11:05 PM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 5, 2026, 11:05 PM UTC
No trades yet · starting price even
56%
On time
42%
Delayed
2%
Cancelled
$126 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
- Opens2:37 AM UTC
- Closes11:06 PM UTC
- SettlesResolved: delayed · $1.00 / winning share
How it settles
We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
15+ min late counts as "delayed"
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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