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FLIGHTS·ASA 2141

ASA 2141 from Bozeman to Seattle was delayed on Sep 13

Over the last 30 days ASA2141 has arrived on time on 70% of its 40 tracked flights between Bozeman and Seattle — 12 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 38%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 13, 2026, 6:06 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 13, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 13, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC

The journey

4300streetcar · CC BY 4.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    60%
  • DelayedResult
    38%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$110 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time60%Delayed38%Cancelled2%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    10:25 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    7:29 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
70%on time
12delayed0cancelled
Aug 15Sep 13

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
Delayed
38%
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