Will SWA 434 from Birmingham to Denver arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 23?
Over the last 30 days SWA434 has arrived on time on 73% of its 15 tracked flights between Birmingham and Denver — 4 late and 0 cancelled.
Waiting on the result
The result has not been reported or processed yet. We keep checking authoritative records and valid alternatives; no funds have moved. There is no automatic refund deadline while evidence is missing, and settlement waits until a valid outcome is established under this market's terms.
The journey
Where it finished
- On time29%
- Delayed70%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled1%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens8:32 AM UTC
- Closes2:21 AM UTC
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
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- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
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