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FLIGHTS·EZY 2202

EZY 2202 from Berlin to Manchester was delayed on Sep 14

Over the last 30 days EZY2202 has arrived on time on 25% of its 24 tracked flights between Berlin and Manchester — 10 late and 8 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 75%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 14, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC
Recorded
Sep 14, 2026, 10:46 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 14, 2026, 10:48 AM UTC

The journey

ERIC SALARD · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    23%
  • DelayedResult
    75%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time23%Delayed75%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    8:29 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    10:49 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent performance
22%on time
10delayed8cancelled
Aug 17Sep 15

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.