Will CA 571 from Beijing to Barcelona arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?
CA571 flies between Beijing and Barcelona. No earlier run of this flight has been tracked yet.
Trading closed — waiting on the result
No more trades can be placed. The event itself decides the outcome, and the market pays out $1.00 on every winning contract as soon as the result is reported.
The journey
Where it finished
- On time1%
- Delayed99%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled0%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens4:29 PM UTC
- Closes4:59 PM UTC
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
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You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.