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FlightsLY 394

Will El Al Israel Airlines LY 394 from Barcelona to Tel Aviv arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 29?

Over the last 30 days LY394 has arrived on time on 41% of its 22 tracked flights between Barcelona and Tel Aviv — 13 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Live
Sourcr: Aero Icarus from Zürich, Switzerland Derivative:MathKnight · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    23%
  • Delayed
    75%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time23%Delayed75%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. In the air
    Opens
    11:45 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

41%on time
13delayed0cancelled
Aug 31Sep 29

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.