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FLIGHTS·SWA 582

Will SWA 582 from Baltimore to Providence arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 23?

Over the last 30 days SWA582 has arrived on time on 50% of its 34 tracked flights between Baltimore and Providence — 15 late and 2 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported or processed yet. We keep checking authoritative records and valid alternatives; no funds have moved. There is no automatic refund deadline while evidence is missing, and settlement waits until a valid outcome is established under this market's terms.

The journey

Luiz Eduardo · CC BY 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    99%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    0%
  • Cancelled
    0%
$693 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time99%Delayed0%Cancelled0%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    8:32 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    1:01 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
48%on time
15delayed2cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.