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FlightsXAA 49

XAA 49 from Bakersfield to Teterboro was delayed on Sep 29

Over the last 30 days XAA49 has arrived on time on 30% of its 27 tracked flights between Bakersfield and Teterboro — 16 late and 3 cancelled.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 65%

Settled on the destination airport operator's published arrival time against its published schedule; delayed means more than 15 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 29, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 29, 2026, 7:51 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 29, 2026, 7:51 PM UTC

The journey

XAA49

Where it finished

  • On time
    34%
  • DelayedResult
    65%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    0%
$183 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time34%Delayed65%Cancelled0%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    2:27 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    7:52 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent performance

30%on time
16delayed3cancelled
Sep 1Sep 30

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.