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FLIGHTS·UAL 730

Will UAL 730 from Austin to Houston arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 24?

Over the last 30 days UAL730 has arrived on time on 61% of its 31 tracked flights between Austin and Houston — 9 late and 3 cancelled.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported or processed yet. We keep checking authoritative records and valid alternatives; no funds have moved. There is no automatic refund deadline while evidence is missing, and settlement waits until a valid outcome is established under this market's terms.

The journey

Anna Zvereva from Tallinn, Estonia · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    74%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    24%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$85 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time74%Delayed24%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    8:41 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:55 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
61%on time
9delayed3cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.