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FLIGHTS·JL 7303

Will JL 7303 from Austin to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 25?

Over the last 30 days JL7303 has arrived on time on 91% of its 22 tracked flights between Austin and Chicago — 2 late and 0 cancelled.

Closed

Trading closed — waiting on the result

Trading has closed, so no more trades can be placed. We keep checking the authoritative record and valid alternatives. A winning contract pays $1.00 after a valid outcome is established and the market settles; a missing report does not itself establish an outcome or start an automatic refund deadline.

The journey

Mark Bess · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it finished

  • On time
    67%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    31%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$49 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time67%Delayed31%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Arrived
    Opens
    5:02 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
91%on time
2delayed0cancelled
Aug 27Sep 25

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.