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FLIGHTS·W4 7512
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W4 7512 (Athens→Tel Aviv) was delayed · Sep 1

Over the last 30 days W47512 has arrived on time on 81% of its 21 tracked flights between Athens and Tel Aviv — 4 late and 0 cancelled.

Settled · Result
Delayed61% implied
No trades yet · starting price even
38%
On time
61%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
$135 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
  1. Opens
    1:04 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:37 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Resolved: delayed · $1.00 / winning share
How it settles

We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

15+ min late counts as "delayed"

Recent performance
81%on time
4delayed0cancelled
Aug 3Sep 1

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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