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FlightsAV 2305

Will Avianca AV 2305 from Asheville to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 28?

Over the last 30 days AV2305 has arrived on time on 86% of its 22 tracked flights between Asheville and Chicago — 2 late and 1 cancelled.

The journey

Alan Wilson from Stilton, Peterborough, Cambs, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    80%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    18%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$37 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time80%Delayed18%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    5:09 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent performance

86%on time
2delayed1cancelled
Aug 30Sep 28

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.