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FLIGHTS·SU 2165

Will Aeroflot SU 2165 from Antalya to Moscow arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?

Over the last 30 days SU2165 has arrived on time on 47% of its 17 tracked flights between Antalya and Moscow — 9 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Anna Zvereva · CC BY-SA 2.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    62%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    36%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$78 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time62%Delayed36%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    11:15 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result
Recent performance
50%on time
8delayed0cancelled
Aug 28Sep 26

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.