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TRAINS·2Y25 CH
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Will 2Y25 CH from Oxford to Bicester Village arrive on time on Sep 14?

2Y25 runs from Oxford to Bicester Village for CH.

The journey

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    65%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    33%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$101 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time65%Delayed33%Cancelled2%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    12:31 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the train arrives
  3. Settles
    Instant & automatic

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
65%