Will DP 6569 from Moscow to Chelyabinsk arrive on time on Sep 14?
Over the last 30 days DP6569 has arrived on time on 15% of its 26 tracked flights between Moscow and Chelyabinsk — 21 late and 1 cancelled.
The journey
What the market thinks
Connecting- On time23%
- Delayed75%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled2%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens9:15 PM UTC
- ClosesWhen the flight arrives
- SettlesInstant & automatic
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.