Will DE 4179 from Frankfurt-am-Main to Hamburg arrive on time on Sep 13?
DE4179 flies between Frankfurt-am-Main and Hamburg. No earlier run of this flight has been tracked yet.
Trading closed — waiting on the result
No more trades can be placed. The event itself decides the outcome, and the market pays out $1.00 on every winning contract as soon as the result is reported.
The journey
Where it finished
- On time77%
chance of on time
- Delayed21%
- Cancelled2%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens6:42 PM UTC
- Closes7:41 PM UTC
- SettlesInstant & automatic
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.