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FLIGHTS·HX 453
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Will HX 453 from Chengdu to Hong Kong arrive on time on Sep 14?

Over the last 30 days HX453 has arrived on time on 75% of its 8 tracked flights between Chengdu and Hong Kong — 2 late and 0 cancelled.

The journey

Live

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    71%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    27%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$0 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time71%Delayed27%Cancelled2%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. In the air
    Opens
    9:33 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Instant & automatic
Recent performance
75%on time
2delayed0cancelled
Aug 15Sep 13

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the flight's recorded arrival time from authoritative tracking data. The market's terms, the delay threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against, are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

15+ min late counts as "delayed"

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
On time
71%