Skip to content
FLIGHTS·FDX 6407

Will FDX 6407 from Anchorage to Chicago arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

FDX6407 flies between Anchorage and Chicago. No earlier run of this flight has been tracked yet.

The journey

N509FZ · CC BY-SA 4.0

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    49%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    49%
  • Cancelled
    1%
$235 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time49%Delayed49%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Scheduled to arrive
    Opens
    2:09 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the flight arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival time the destination airport publishes, against its published schedule. A flight that arrives more than the delay threshold late settles "Delayed"; one that arrives exactly on the threshold settles "On time". The threshold and the scheduled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the flight, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 15 minutes.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
49%